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82 changes: 82 additions & 0 deletions quantum-top-10/EVIDENCE_CONVENTION.md
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# Evidence Convention

## Purpose

The Evidence classification communicates the maturity of the **attack class** described by a Top 10 entry.

It does **not** describe:

- likelihood
- impact
- overall risk
- priority

Those are assessed independently.

---

## Evidence Classifications

### Demonstrated

The attack class has been demonstrated against real systems or realistic prototypes and is supported by publicly available evidence.

Acceptable evidence includes one or more of:

- peer-reviewed experimental research
- public proof-of-concept
- CVE or security advisory
- vendor acknowledgement
- publicly documented real-world incident

### Emerging

The attack class is technically credible and supported by research or early demonstrations, but has not yet been broadly demonstrated in operational environments.

Typical evidence includes:

- laboratory demonstrations
- prototype implementations
- peer-reviewed research
- credible engineering analyses

### Theoretical

The attack class is supported by accepted theory or security analysis but has not yet been experimentally demonstrated.

Evidence typically consists of:

- mathematical analysis
- security proofs
- theoretical models

---

## Classification Guidance

The classification applies to the **attack class**, not to every step required for successful exploitation.

Example:

Harvest Now, Decrypt Later (HNDL)

- Harvesting encrypted data: Demonstrated
- Future decryption using a CRQC: Future dependency

Overall classification:

**Demonstrated**, with the note that successful decryption depends on the availability of a Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computer (CRQC).

---

## Author Guidance

Every Top 10 entry should include:

**Evidence**

- **Classification:** Demonstrated | Emerging | Theoretical
- **Justification:** One or two sentences explaining the classification.
- **Primary Evidence:** The strongest supporting references should also appear in the Reference section.

The objective is transparency and consistency rather than precise scientific scoring.
103 changes: 88 additions & 15 deletions quantum-top-10/_template.md
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## Vulnerability Name
# Top 10 Entry Template

**Description:**
## QSXX:2026 - Risk Name

A brief description of the vulnerability that includes its potential effects such as system compromises, data breaches, or other security concerns.
**Description**

**Common Examples of Vulnerability:**
Describe the risk, the affected assets, the relevant threat or failure condition, and the potential impact.

1. Example 1: Specific instance or type of this vulnerability.
2. Example 2: Another instance or type of this vulnerability.
3. Example 3: Yet another instance or type of this vulnerability.
**Scope**

**How to Prevent:**
Clearly define what this entry covers and, where useful, what it explicitly does **not** cover. Use this section to distinguish the risk from adjacent Top 10 entries.

1. Prevention Step 1: A step or strategy that can be used to prevent the vulnerability or mitigate its effects.
2. Prevention Step 2: Another prevention step or strategy.
3. Prevention Step 3: Yet another prevention step or strategy.
**Evidence**

**Example Attack Scenarios:**
**Classification:** Demonstrated | Emerging | Theoretical

Provide a short justification and reference the supporting evidence.

See `EVIDENCE_CONVENTION.md` for the evidence convention.

**Common Examples**

Representative examples of the conditions, weaknesses, exposures, or implementation patterns associated with this risk.

1. Example
2. Example
3. Example

**Detection**

Describe practical ways an organisation can determine whether it is exposed to this risk.

Examples include:

- architecture reviews
- cryptographic inventories / CBOMs
- configuration analysis
- software composition analysis
- runtime monitoring
- infrastructure assessments

**How to Prevent**

Describe practical mitigations.

Where practical, recommendations should be:

- **Actionable** – clearly state what should be implemented.
- **Measurable** – allow objective assessment of implementation.
- **Verifiable** – capable of being independently assessed through testing, automation, review or audit.

Detailed verification procedures belong in supporting guidance rather than in the Top 10 itself.

**Example Attack Scenarios**

Scenario #1: A detailed scenario illustrating how an attacker could potentially exploit this vulnerability, including the attacker's actions and the potential outcomes.

Scenario #2: Another example of an attack scenario showing a different way the vulnerability could be exploited.

**Reference Links:**
**Standards & Regulatory Mapping**

Identify the authoritative documents that define, recommend, or influence security practice for this risk.

Include relevant:

- standards;
- regulations;
- government guidance;
- recognised industry guidance.

Briefly describe how each document relates to the risk.

If no authoritative mapping currently exists, state this explicitly.

**Related Risks**

Reference other Quantum Security Top 10 entries where relevant and briefly explain the relationship.

- QSXX – Relationship
- QSYY – Relationship

Examples for QS01:
- **QS04 – Absent Cryptographic Inventory:** A cryptographic inventory is required to identify quantum-vulnerable encryption and prioritise HNDL exposure.
- **QS05 – Crypto-Agility Failures:** Poor crypto agility increases migration time, extending HNDL exposure.
- **QS06 – Insecure Migration and Hybrid Misuse:** Migration failures may leave HNDL exposure unresolved even after migration has begun.

**Reference Links**

Provide the primary references supporting the technical content of this entry.

Examples include:

- peer-reviewed research;
- technical reports;
- RFCs;
- vendor documentation;
- security advisories;
- CVEs;
- publicly available proof-of-concepts.

1. [Link Title](URL): Brief description of the reference link.
2. [Link Title](URL): Brief description of the reference link.
These references should support the statements, attack scenarios, mitigations, or evidence classification described in the entry.