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evidence(soak 9453325-7258): first soak execution catches #441's launch-regime face — 361s height stall vs the 160s computed bound - #445

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evidence(soak 9453325-7258): first soak execution catches #441's launch-regime face — 361s height stall vs the 160s computed bound#445
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Summary

Evidence for the first execution of the PE-required launch publish/drain soak (PR #443's drill): 18 pass / 2 gap / 1 fail / 1 skip, the FAIL being the drill's finding — a height went 361s without a commit (2.3× the computed 160s escape bound) with the network live, 2/15 publishes landed.

#441's second face (recorded on the issue + consult §2b): maybeAdvanceRound quiesces on empty pendingBondRegs — the #432 escape is armed by drain work only, so a publish-contended height with momentarily-empty renewal queues has no escape driver until the next renewal arrives. One root, two faces (mature new-view starvation + launch arming stall); red-team #183 gates on the #441 consult for both regimes.

Also notable: chaos-fetch and durability-turnover — broken/GAPped on the MATURING run — pass clean in the launch regime (regime-correlation evidence).

Docs + evidence only. The fix remains research-gated.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

https://claude.ai/code/session_01VZNHcL945W2Cryd7CvQsEy

…ts first execution — #441's second face (the escape's arming is drain-only), 361s > the 160s computed bound

18 pass / 2 gap / 1 fail / 1 skip: every standard flow green (chaos-fetch and
durability-turnover, which broke on the MATURING run, pass in the launch
regime — regime-correlation evidence for #441), and the single FAIL is the
new soak drill doing its job: a height went 361s without a commit with the
network live (h51→h60, 2/15 publishes landed), client error carried inline
by the PR #443 obs fix ('propose height 60 round 0: already signed a
different block in this slot').

Mechanism (code-cited, recorded on #441 + consult §2b): maybeAdvanceRound
quiesces when pendingBondRegs is empty — the #432 escape is ARMED by drain
work only, so a publish-contended height on momentarily-empty renewal queues
has no escape driver until the next renewal arrives (361s ≈ one cadence gap,
2.3× the computed bound). One root, two faces: the round machinery's arming
AND new-view seat are drain-only. Red-team #183 now gates on the #441
consult for BOTH regimes.

Console-log anomaly flagged (not rationalized) in the thinking doc: the
session console redirect ends at startup while the harness's own artifacts
(report/results/flow-evidence, committed here) are complete — those are the
record. Torn down clean; cloud verified empty.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01VZNHcL945W2Cryd7CvQsEy
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nerolabs enabled auto-merge (squash) August 16, 2026 05:14
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