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fomc

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End-to-End Python implementation of "FedSight AI" multi-agent system for Federal Funds Target Rate prediction (NeurIPS 2025 Workshop). Simulates FOMC deliberations using LLMs with Chain-of-Draft reasoning and In-Context Learning. Integrates structured macro indicators with unstructured narratives (Beige Book, Dot Plots).

  • Updated Jan 3, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

Projet de NLP appliqué aux conférences de presse du FOMC (2020–2025) visant à analyser l’évolution du discours monétaire de la Réserve fédérale américaine. À travers des méthodes de text mining, TF-IDF, clustering et analyse de sentiments, le projet étudie les thèmes macroéconomiques dominants et leurs corrélations avec les marchés financiers.

  • Updated May 21, 2026
  • Python

Leakage-free real-time evaluation of open-weights LLMs for US CPI inflation forecasting. Introduces the memorization premium (seen vs. unseen forecast-error gap) and a three-role decomposition (direct forecaster, FOMC-text extractor, combiner). Reproduces every number in the IJF manuscript's Table 3 from the committed checkpoint.

  • Updated Aug 9, 2026
  • Python

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